Will Scott Bessent say “Rate”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Scott Bessent said “Rate” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Oct 16, 2025.
Of the last 3 transcripts we have, of any kind (3 press briefings; Apr 29, 2025 – May 28, 2026), since fewer than 2 keynotes have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 3.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Last said
- Oct 15, 2025
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Scott Bessent
Rate
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last 3 transcripts
- said in 3 of 3
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (3 press briefings); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…all of you will want to report on that. And the unemployment rate remains low at 4.3 percent. So, with that, I'm happy to ask…
…have insurance. Lloyd's of London had skyrocketing insurance during the time. The rates are still very high. So we want to provide, the US government…
…has done a great job of leading that since January 20th. Interest rates, mortgage rates are down, gasoline and energy prices are down. We're expecting…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2025 | Rate |  Kalshi | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Scott Bessent say “Rate”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Scott Bessent said “Rate” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Oct 16, 2025.
- What is the probability Scott Bessent says “Rate” next time?
- 63%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Scott Bessent: ‘Rate’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/scott-bessent/words/rate (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=scott-bessent&word=rate · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=scott-bessent&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP