Will Scott Bessent say “Powell”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Scott Bessent did not say “Powell” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Oct 16, 2025.
Of the last 3 transcripts we have, of any kind (3 press briefings; Apr 29, 2025 – May 28, 2026), since fewer than 2 keynotes have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Scott Bessent
Powell
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last 3 transcripts
- said in 1 of 3
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (3 press briefings); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
I had breakfast with Chair Powell 41 times, and I never did that. OK, last question.
…that you are the reason that he has not fired Chairman J. Powell. Will you make that case again to him as he's recently said…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2025 | Powell |  Kalshi | No |
Questions
- How often does Scott Bessent say “Powell”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Scott Bessent did not say “Powell” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Oct 16, 2025.
- What is the probability Scott Bessent says “Powell” next time?
- 51%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Scott Bessent: ‘Powell’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/scott-bessent/words/powell (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=scott-bessent&word=powell · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=scott-bessent&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP