Will Scott Bessent say “Japan”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Scott Bessent said “Japan” at 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since May 14, 2026 (50%), most recently on Jun 24, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 49% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 3 transcripts we have, of any kind (3 press briefings; Apr 29, 2025 – May 28, 2026), since fewer than 2 interviews have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0.
- Last 10
- 1/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Scott Bessent
Japan
- Probability
- 49% · n=2
- Settled
- 1/2 (50%)
- Last 3 transcripts
- said in 0 of 3
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (3 press briefings); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…the timeline for when you think some of these deals, particularly with your Asian countries like India, Japan, South Korea, you may have an announcement?
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown
KalshiQuestions
- How often does Scott Bessent say “Japan”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Scott Bessent said “Japan” at 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since May 14, 2026 (50%), most recently on Jun 24, 2026.
- What is the probability Scott Bessent says “Japan” next time?
- 49%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Scott Bessent: ‘Japan’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/scott-bessent/words/japan (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=scott-bessent&word=japan · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=scott-bessent&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP