Will Scott Bessent say “Iran” 10+ times?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Scott Bessent said “Iran” 10+ times at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Aug 24, 2026.
Of the last 3 transcripts we have, of any kind (3 press briefings; Apr 29, 2025 – May 28, 2026), since fewer than 2 press conferences have transcripts, it reached the market's count (10+, named speaker only) in 0.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Scott Bessent
Iran 10+ times
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last 3 transcripts
- said in 0 of 3
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (3 press briefings); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…the cabinet meeting, that he -- he has several red lines. And Iran has to turn over their highly enriched uranium. They cannot pursue a…
…update on the tariffs, but I do have an update on sanctions. Iran used to be the largest state sponsor of terrorism. China was purchasing…
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Iran 10+ times |  Polymarket | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Scott Bessent say “Iran 10+ times”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Scott Bessent said “Iran” 10+ times at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Aug 24, 2026.
- What is the probability Scott Bessent says “Iran 10+ times” next time?
- 63%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Scott Bessent: ‘Iran 10+ times’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/scott-bessent/words/iran-10plus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=scott-bessent&word=iran%20%2810%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=scott-bessent&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP