Will Scott Bessent say “Interest Rate”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Scott Bessent did not say “Interest Rate” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Mar 15, 2025.
Of the last 3 transcripts we have, of any kind (3 press briefings; Apr 29, 2025 – May 28, 2026), since fewer than 2 episodes have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 2.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Scott Bessent
Interest Rate
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last 3 transcripts
- said in 2 of 3
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (3 press briefings); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…probably also go into a virtuous cycle as the budget deficit narrowed, interest rates would go down. No one reports it, but last year we…
…Trump has done a great job of leading that since January 20th. Interest rates, mortgage rates are down, gasoline and energy prices are down. We're…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2025 | Interest Rate |  Kalshi | No |
Questions
- How often does Scott Bessent say “Interest Rate”?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, Scott Bessent did not say “Interest Rate” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Mar 15, 2025.
- What is the probability Scott Bessent says “Interest Rate” next time?
- 40%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Scott Bessent: ‘Interest Rate’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/scott-bessent/words/interest-rate (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=scott-bessent&word=interest%20rate · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=scott-bessent&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP