Will Scott Bessent say “Gas / Gasoline”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Scott Bessent said “Gas / Gasoline” at 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 15, 2026 (100%), most recently on Apr 15, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 65% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 3 press briefings we have transcripts for (Apr 29, 2025 – May 28, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 3.
- Last 10
- 2/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Scott Bessent
Gas / Gasoline
- Probability
- 65% · n=2
- Settled
- 2/2 (100%)
- Last 3 press briefings
- said in 3 of 3
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
Natural gas is down. That's why I believe, and the futures market is showing us, oil will be lower than pre-conflict levels. We are more…
…will see. And I'm optimistic that during the summer, we will see gas with a $3 in front of it sooner rather than later. It's…
…of leading that since January 20th. Interest rates, mortgage rates are down, gasoline and energy prices are down. We're expecting the further decreases, and as…
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 15, 2026 | Gas / Gasoline |  Kalshi | Yes | 3 |
| Apr 15, 2026 | Gas / Gasoline | Kalshi | Yes | – |
Questions
- How often does Scott Bessent say “Gas / Gasoline”?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, Scott Bessent said “Gas / Gasoline” at 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 15, 2026 (100%), most recently on Apr 15, 2026.
- What is the probability Scott Bessent says “Gas / Gasoline” next time?
- 65%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Scott Bessent: ‘Gas / Gasoline’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/scott-bessent/words/gas-or-gasoline (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=scott-bessent&word=gas%20%2F%20gasoline · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=scott-bessent&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP