Will Scott Bessent say “Federal Reserve”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Scott Bessent did not say “Federal Reserve” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Mar 15, 2025.
Of the last 3 transcripts we have, of any kind (3 press briefings; Apr 29, 2025 – May 28, 2026), since fewer than 2 episodes have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Scott Bessent
Federal Reserve
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last 3 transcripts
- said in 1 of 3
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (3 press briefings); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
I'm sure Senator Tillis wants to do the best thing for the Federal Reserve for the American people. He has publicly said that Kevin Warsh…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2025 | Federal Reserve |  Kalshi | No |
Questions
- How often does Scott Bessent say “Federal Reserve”?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, Scott Bessent did not say “Federal Reserve” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Mar 15, 2025.
- What is the probability Scott Bessent says “Federal Reserve” next time?
- 40%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Scott Bessent: ‘Federal Reserve’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/scott-bessent/words/federal-reserve (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=scott-bessent&word=federal%20reserve · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=scott-bessent&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP