Will Scott Bessent say “Canada”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Scott Bessent did not say “Canada” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Mar 15, 2025.
Of the last 3 transcripts we have, of any kind (3 press briefings; Apr 29, 2025 – May 28, 2026), since fewer than 2 episodes have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Scott Bessent
Canada
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last 3 transcripts
- said in 0 of 3
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (3 press briefings); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…has elections. And to what extent are domestic factors complicating your efforts? Canada just had an election. Are you seeing that you might have to…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2025 | Canada |  Kalshi | No |
Questions
- How often does Scott Bessent say “Canada”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Scott Bessent did not say “Canada” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Mar 15, 2025.
- What is the probability Scott Bessent says “Canada” next time?
- 40%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Scott Bessent: ‘Canada’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/scott-bessent/words/canada (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=scott-bessent&word=canada · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=scott-bessent&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP