Will Pete Hegseth say “Golden Dome”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Pete Hegseth said “Golden Dome” at 4 of 5 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Nov 8, 2025 (80%), most recently on Jul 21, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 60% (n=5, from settlement history), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 4/5Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes no yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Pete Hegseth
Golden Dome
- Probability
- 60% · n=5
- Settled
- 4/5 (80%)
Next listing counts: named speaker only
We don’t have transcripts for Pete Hegseth yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.
Every settled listing
newest first · 5 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 21, 2026 | Golden Dome |  Kalshi | Yes |
| May 12, 2026 | Golden Dome | Kalshi | No |
| Apr 29, 2026 | Golden Dome | Kalshi | Yes |
| Dec 7, 2025 | Golden Dome | Kalshi | Yes |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Golden Dome | Kalshi | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Pete Hegseth say “Golden Dome”?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, Pete Hegseth said “Golden Dome” at 4 of 5 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Nov 8, 2025 (80%), most recently on Jul 21, 2026.
- What is the probability Pete Hegseth says “Golden Dome” next time?
- 60%, from settlement history (n=5). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Pete Hegseth: ‘Golden Dome’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/pete-hegseth/words/golden-dome (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=pete-hegseth&word=golden%20dome · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=pete-hegseth&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP