Will Melania Trump say “Scholarship”?
As of Oct 26, 2026, Melania Trump said “Scholarship” at 1 of 6 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Mar 2, 2026 (17%), most recently on Aug 20, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 24% (n=6, from settlement history), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 1/6Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes no no no no
- Streak
- not said the last 4 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Melania Trump
Scholarship
- Probability
- 24% · n=6
- Settled
- 1/6 (17%)
Next listing counts: named speaker only
We don’t have transcripts for Melania Trump yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.
Every settled listing
newest first · 7 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 2026 | Scholarship |  Kalshi | No |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Scholarship | Kalshi | No |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Scholarship | Kalshi | No |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Scholarship |  Polymarket | No |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Scholarship | Kalshi | No |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Scholarship | Kalshi | Yes |
| Mar 2, 2026 | Scholarship | Polymarket | No |
Questions
- How often does Melania Trump say “Scholarship”?
- As of Oct 26, 2026, Melania Trump said “Scholarship” at 1 of 6 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Mar 2, 2026 (17%), most recently on Aug 20, 2026.
- What is the probability Melania Trump says “Scholarship” next time?
- 24%, from settlement history (n=6). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Melania Trump: ‘Scholarship’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/melania-trump/words/scholarship (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=melania-trump&word=scholarship · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=melania-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP