Melania Trump: Speech, Mar 2, 2026
Polymarket What will Melania say during U.N. Security Council events on March 2?
Markets
22 words · 8 settled yes- Polymarket: named speaker only Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Conflict / War 3+ times | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Human Right | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Intelligence | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Path / Solution | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Potential | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Somalia | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Peace | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Child / Boy / Girl | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| 250 / 250th | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Cooperation | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Crypto / Drone | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Empowerment | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Gaza / UNRWA | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Innovation | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Nuclear | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Scholarship | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Teleprompter / Escalator | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Trump | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Ukraine / Russia 2+ times | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Star | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Foster / Fostering | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Putin | No | 23%n=2 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=p%3Awhat-will-melania-say-during-un-security-council-events-on-march-2 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP