Will Kathy Hochul say “Tax”?

As of Oct 26, 2026, Kathy Hochul said “Tax” at 1 of 5 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 14, 2026 (20%), most recently on Apr 2, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 37% (n=5, from settlement history), not a forecast.

37%from settlement history only · n=5counts: named speaker only
Last 10
1/5Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no yes
Streak
said last time
Counts
named speaker only
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Kathy Hochul

Tax

Probability
37% · n=5
Settled
1/5 (20%)

Next listing counts: named speaker only

We don’t have transcripts for Kathy Hochul yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.

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Every settled listing

newest first · 5 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Apr 2, 2026TaxKalshiYes
Feb 21, 2026TaxKalshiNo
Feb 18, 2026TaxKalshiNo
Feb 17, 2026TaxKalshiNo
Feb 14, 2026TaxKalshiNo

Questions

How often does Kathy Hochul say “Tax”?
As of Oct 26, 2026, Kathy Hochul said “Tax” at 1 of 5 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 14, 2026 (20%), most recently on Apr 2, 2026.
What is the probability Kathy Hochul says “Tax” next time?
37%, from settlement history (n=5). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Kathy Hochul: ‘Tax’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/kathy-hochul/words/tax (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=kathy-hochul&word=tax · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=kathy-hochul&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP