Will Kathy Hochul say “Iran / Iranian”?
As of Oct 26, 2026, Kathy Hochul did not say “Iran / Iranian” at any of the 5 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 20, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 24% (n=5, from settlement history), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 0/5Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no no
- Streak
- not said the last 5 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Kathy Hochul
Iran / Iranian
- Probability
- 24% · n=5
- Settled
- 0/5 (0%)
Next listing counts: named speaker only
We don’t have transcripts for Kathy Hochul yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.
Every settled listing
newest first · 5 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 11, 2026 | Iran / Iranian |  Kalshi | No |
| Apr 29, 2026 | Iran / Iranian | Kalshi | No |
| Apr 22, 2026 | Iran / Iranian | Kalshi | No |
| Apr 21, 2026 | Iran / Iranian | Kalshi | No |
| Apr 20, 2026 | Iran / Iranian | Kalshi | No |
Questions
- How often does Kathy Hochul say “Iran / Iranian”?
- As of Oct 26, 2026, Kathy Hochul did not say “Iran / Iranian” at any of the 5 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 20, 2026.
- What is the probability Kathy Hochul says “Iran / Iranian” next time?
- 24%, from settlement history (n=5). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Kathy Hochul: ‘Iran / Iranian’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/kathy-hochul/words/iran-or-iranian (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=kathy-hochul&word=iran%20%2F%20iranian · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=kathy-hochul&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP