Will Kathy Hochul say “Homeless / Homelessness”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Kathy Hochul said “Homeless / Homelessness” at 3 of 5 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Jan 13, 2026 (60%), most recently on Jan 21, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 46% (n=5, from settlement history), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 3/5Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes no no
- Streak
- not said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Kathy Hochul
Homeless / Homelessness
- Probability
- 46% · n=5
- Settled
- 3/5 (60%)
Next listing counts: named speaker only
We don’t have transcripts for Kathy Hochul yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.
Every settled listing
newest first · 5 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2026 | Homeless / Homelessness |  Kalshi | No |
| Mar 5, 2026 | Homeless / Homelessness | Kalshi | No |
| Jan 21, 2026 | Homeless / Homelessness | Kalshi | Yes |
| Jan 14, 2026 | Homeless / Homelessness | Kalshi | Yes |
| Jan 13, 2026 | Homeless / Homelessness |  Polymarket | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Kathy Hochul say “Homeless / Homelessness”?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, Kathy Hochul said “Homeless / Homelessness” at 3 of 5 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Jan 13, 2026 (60%), most recently on Jan 21, 2026.
- What is the probability Kathy Hochul says “Homeless / Homelessness” next time?
- 46%, from settlement history (n=5). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Kathy Hochul: ‘Homeless / Homelessness’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/kathy-hochul/words/homeless-or-homelessness (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=kathy-hochul&word=homeless%20%2F%20homelessness · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=kathy-hochul&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP