Will Kathy Hochul say “Commute / Commuter”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Kathy Hochul said “Commute / Commuter” at 1 of 5 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 17, 2026 (20%), most recently on Feb 17, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 32% (n=5, from settlement history), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 1/5Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no no no no
- Streak
- not said the last 4 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Kathy Hochul
Commute / Commuter
- Probability
- 32% · n=5
- Settled
- 1/5 (20%)
Next listing counts: named speaker only
We don’t have transcripts for Kathy Hochul yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.
Every settled listing
newest first · 5 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 17, 2026 | Commute / Commuter |  Kalshi | No |
| Mar 25, 2026 | Commute / Commuter | Kalshi | No |
| Mar 13, 2026 | Commute / Commuter | Kalshi | No |
| Mar 5, 2026 | Commute / Commuter | Kalshi | No |
| Feb 17, 2026 | Commute / Commuter | Kalshi | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Kathy Hochul say “Commute / Commuter”?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, Kathy Hochul said “Commute / Commuter” at 1 of 5 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 17, 2026 (20%), most recently on Feb 17, 2026.
- What is the probability Kathy Hochul says “Commute / Commuter” next time?
- 32%, from settlement history (n=5). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Kathy Hochul: ‘Commute / Commuter’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/kathy-hochul/words/commute-or-commuter (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=kathy-hochul&word=commute%20%2F%20commuter · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=kathy-hochul&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP