Will Kathy Hochul say “Common Sense”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Kathy Hochul said “Common Sense” at 1 of 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 24, 2026 (25%), most recently on Mar 25, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 37% (n=4, from settlement history), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 1/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes no no
- Streak
- not said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Kathy Hochul
Common Sense
- Probability
- 37% · n=4
- Settled
- 1/4 (25%)
Next listing counts: named speaker only
We don’t have transcripts for Kathy Hochul yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.
Every settled listing
newest first · 4 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2026 | Common Sense |  Kalshi | No |
| Apr 2, 2026 | Common Sense | Kalshi | No |
| Mar 25, 2026 | Common Sense | Kalshi | Yes |
| Mar 24, 2026 | Common Sense | Kalshi | No |
Questions
- How often does Kathy Hochul say “Common Sense”?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, Kathy Hochul said “Common Sense” at 1 of 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 24, 2026 (25%), most recently on Mar 25, 2026.
- What is the probability Kathy Hochul says “Common Sense” next time?
- 37%, from settlement history (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Kathy Hochul: ‘Common Sense’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/kathy-hochul/words/common-sense (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=kathy-hochul&word=common%20sense · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=kathy-hochul&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP