Will Kamala Harris say “Ukraine”?

As of Oct 24, 2026, Kamala Harris said “Ukraine” at 2 of 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Aug 16, 2024 (50%), most recently on Apr 10, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 44% (n=4, from settlement history), not a forecast.

44%from settlement history only · n=4counts: named speaker only
Last 10
2/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes no yes
Streak
said last time
Counts
named speaker only
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Kamala Harris

Ukraine

Probability
44% · n=4
Settled
2/4 (50%)

Next listing counts: named speaker only

We don’t have transcripts for Kamala Harris yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.

What will Kamala Harris say during her NAN Fireside Chat? · settled yes

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What will Kamala Harris say on Jimmy Kimmel? · not listed

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What will Kamala Harris say on Jimmy Kimmel Live! on December 17? · not listed

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What will Kamala Harris say during the DNC meeting? · not listed

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What will Kamala Harris say during the Rachel Maddow Show? · settled no

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What will Kamala Harris say during the The Late Show With Stephen Colbert? · not listed

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What will Kamala say in concession speech? · not listed

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What will Kamala say during DC rally today? · not listed

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What will Kamala Harris say during Fox interview? · not listed

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What will Kamala say during Univision town hall? · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 4 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Apr 10, 2026UkraineKalshiYes
Sep 22, 2025UkraineKalshiNo
Aug 22, 2024UkrainePolymarketYes
Aug 16, 2024UkrainePolymarketNo

Questions

How often does Kamala Harris say “Ukraine”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Kamala Harris said “Ukraine” at 2 of 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Aug 16, 2024 (50%), most recently on Apr 10, 2026.
What is the probability Kamala Harris says “Ukraine” next time?
44%, from settlement history (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Kamala Harris: ‘Ukraine’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/kamala-harris/words/ukraine (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=kamala-harris&word=ukraine · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=kamala-harris&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP