Will JD Vance say “Vote”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, JD Vance said “Vote” at 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Aug 21, 2026 (100%), most recently on Aug 31, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 63% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 5 transcripts we have, of any kind (5 press briefings; Oct 1, 2025 – Sep 3, 2026), since fewer than 2 remarks have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 4.
- Last 10
- 2/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
JD Vance
Vote
- Probability
- 63% · n=2
- Settled
- 2/2 (100%)
- Last 5 transcripts
- said in 4 of 5
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (5 press briefings); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…my time as a candidate? Fundamentally, the president and I get one vote each, just like every other American. And what we want is every…
…we try? Why don't we try and at least force people to vote against it? One of the things that, you know, sometimes frustrates me…
…why don't you take this to the ballot box? Why don't you vote? Why don't you organize instead what some of them are doing? What…
…Republican shutdown, look, it's obviously a Democratic shutdown. Just look at the vote totals in the House, look at the vote totals in the Senate,…
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown
PolymarketQuestions
- How often does JD Vance say “Vote”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, JD Vance said “Vote” at 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Aug 21, 2026 (100%), most recently on Aug 31, 2026.
- What is the probability JD Vance says “Vote” next time?
- 63%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “JD Vance: ‘Vote’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/jd-vance/words/vote (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=jd-vance&word=vote · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=jd-vance&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP