Will JD Vance say “Today”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, JD Vance said “Today” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Jul 8, 2026.
Of the last 5 transcripts we have, of any kind (5 press briefings; Oct 1, 2025 – Sep 3, 2026), since fewer than 2 remarks have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 5.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
JD Vance
Today
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last 5 transcripts
- said in 5 of 5
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (5 press briefings); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…points. So for all the kids at home and their parents, importantly, today is -- or I believe tomorrow is the last day of the…
…level from the pre-war conflict. Gas prices dropped below $4 a gallon today for the first time since the conflict. And importantly, they're going to…
…to give a shout-out, of course, to the person I am replacing today, Carolyn Levitt, who hopefully is at home enjoying some time with her…
…going to vote the wrong way in my view, on this resolution today. Much of their argument was based more on a legal technicality than…
…me talk about some more. Our troops are not getting paid starting today because of the Chuck Schumer wing of the Democratic Party. We have…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 8, 2026 | Today |  Polymarket | Yes |
Questions
- How often does JD Vance say “Today”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, JD Vance said “Today” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Jul 8, 2026.
- What is the probability JD Vance says “Today” next time?
- 55%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “JD Vance: ‘Today’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/jd-vance/words/today (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=jd-vance&word=today · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=jd-vance&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP