Will JD Vance say “Tax” 5+ times?
As of Oct 24, 2026, JD Vance said “Tax” 5+ times at 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Jul 8, 2026 (100%), most recently on Aug 24, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 62% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 5 transcripts we have, of any kind (5 press briefings; Oct 1, 2025 – Sep 3, 2026), since fewer than 2 remarks have transcripts, it reached the market's count (5+, named speaker only) in 2.
- Last 10
- 2/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
JD Vance
Tax 5+ times
- Probability
- 62% · n=2
- Settled
- 2/2 (100%)
- Last 5 transcripts
- said in 2 of 5
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (5 press briefings); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…our broader effort, which is, we're trying to make sure that your tax dollars and basic institutional trust is protected by your government. Whether it's…
…three months, two-thirds of the defensive weapons that have protected your homeland have been built by American hands and paid for by American tax dollars.
…It has, first of all, the American taxpayer, people who pay their taxes, who out of their generosity and because they have to, of course,…
…the Biden administration, Democrats twice voted to expand these Affordable Care Act tax credits, but those were supposed to be temporary and they were slated…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Tax 5+ times |  Polymarket | Yes |
| Jul 8, 2026 | Tax 5+ times | Polymarket | Yes |
Questions
- How often does JD Vance say “Tax 5+ times”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, JD Vance said “Tax” 5+ times at 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Jul 8, 2026 (100%), most recently on Aug 24, 2026.
- What is the probability JD Vance says “Tax 5+ times” next time?
- 62%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “JD Vance: ‘Tax 5+ times’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/jd-vance/words/tax-5plus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=jd-vance&word=tax%20%285%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=jd-vance&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP