Will JD Vance say “Radical”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, JD Vance said “Radical” at 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Sep 18, 2026 (100%), most recently on Sep 21, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 62% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 5 transcripts we have, of any kind (5 press briefings; Oct 1, 2025 – Sep 3, 2026), since fewer than 2 rallies have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 3.
- Last 10
- 2/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
JD Vance
Radical
- Probability
- 62% · n=2
- Settled
- 2/2 (100%)
- Last 5 transcripts
- said in 3 of 5
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (5 press briefings); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…they're shooting a little bit less at each other than they were before. What you've seen is radical progress in Lebanon, less shooting, less firing.
…truth, they ought to tell the truth that a group of left-wing radicals have been working tirelessly, sometimes using domestic terror techniques to try to…
…is shut down is because Chuck Schumer is listening to the far-left radicals in his own party because he is terrified of a primary challenge.…
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown
PolymarketQuestions
- How often does JD Vance say “Radical”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, JD Vance said “Radical” at 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Sep 18, 2026 (100%), most recently on Sep 21, 2026.
- What is the probability JD Vance says “Radical” next time?
- 62%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “JD Vance: ‘Radical’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/jd-vance/words/radical (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=jd-vance&word=radical · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=jd-vance&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP