Will JD Vance say “Police”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, JD Vance said “Police” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Oct 9, 2026.
Of the last 5 transcripts we have, of any kind (5 press briefings; Oct 1, 2025 – Sep 3, 2026), since fewer than 2 rallies have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 4.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
JD Vance
Police
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last 5 transcripts
- said in 4 of 5
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (5 press briefings); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…supporting law enforcement. They've fought us on giving tax breaks to our police officers. So, on every issue where we've been successful in promoting law…
…the elected representatives of the people of Lebanon, who are able to police southern Lebanon so that Hezbollah is not taking over the country, the…
…John. We're not trying to give money to anybody who attacked a police officer. We're trying to give money, not give money, we're trying to…
…— I mean, think about, for example, a criminal law where a police officer goes and arrests somebody because they violated a criminal law. If…
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Police |  Polymarket | Yes |
Questions
- How often does JD Vance say “Police”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, JD Vance said “Police” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Oct 9, 2026.
- What is the probability JD Vance says “Police” next time?
- 55%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “JD Vance: ‘Police’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/jd-vance/words/police (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=jd-vance&word=police · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=jd-vance&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP