Will JD Vance say “Job”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, JD Vance said “Job” at 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since May 5, 2026 (100%), most recently on Jul 8, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 61% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 5 transcripts we have, of any kind (5 press briefings; Oct 1, 2025 – Sep 3, 2026), since fewer than 2 remarks have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 5.
- Last 10
- 2/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
JD Vance
Job
- Probability
- 61% · n=2
- Settled
- 2/2 (100%)
- Last 5 transcripts
- said in 5 of 5
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (5 press briefings); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…out of business, which makes America's roads safer and also protects the jobs of American truckers. And so if you're an American trucker wondering why…
…an excellent thing for the American people. But that's part of our job. We've got to tell the story about what this means for Americans,…
…work and importantly, very proud of the team who've done an incredible job. And then finally, just to give an update on the Iran negotiation,…
…in the history of our country. Pam has been doing a great job to get the resources there to uncover it. But importantly, creating a…
…take a couple more. Then I'll let Karoline... I'll go back to my day job so Caroline can go back to hers. All right, yes?
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown
PolymarketQuestions
- How often does JD Vance say “Job”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, JD Vance said “Job” at 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since May 5, 2026 (100%), most recently on Jul 8, 2026.
- What is the probability JD Vance says “Job” next time?
- 61%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “JD Vance: ‘Job’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/jd-vance/words/job (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=jd-vance&word=job · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=jd-vance&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP