Will JD Vance say “Inflation” 3+ times?
As of Oct 24, 2026, JD Vance did not say “Inflation” 3+ times at any of the 3 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since May 28, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 30% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 5 transcripts we have, of any kind (5 press briefings; Oct 1, 2025 – Sep 3, 2026), since fewer than 2 remarks have transcripts, it reached the market's count (3+, named speaker only) in 1.
- Last 10
- 0/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no
- Streak
- not said the last 3 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearanceJD Vance
Inflation 3+ times
- Probability
- 30% · n=3
- Settled
- 0/3 (0%)
- Last 5 transcripts
- said in 1 of 5
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (5 press briefings); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…a few things. First of all, if you look at how endemic inflation became during the Biden administration -- and -- and this is not…
…million people. Their economy is in a freefall. They have sky high inflation. And fundamentally, about $1 trillion of damage to their industrial base was…
…on a platform that included no new wars, cutting gas prices, cutting inflation. What do you say to people who are going to the polls…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…that Democrats approved six short months ago in March, just adjusted for inflation. This is the same kind of clean funding bill that Democrats passed…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Every settled listing
newest first · 3 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2026 | Inflation 3+ times | No | |
| Mar 13, 2026 | Inflation 3+ times | No | |
| May 28, 2025 | Inflation 3+ | No |
Questions
- How often does JD Vance say “Inflation 3+ times”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, JD Vance did not say “Inflation” 3+ times at any of the 3 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since May 28, 2025.
- What is the probability JD Vance says “Inflation 3+ times” next time?
- 30%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “JD Vance: ‘Inflation 3+ times’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/jd-vance/words/inflation-3plus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=jd-vance&word=inflation%20%283%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=jd-vance&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP