Will JD Vance say “Hundred / Thousand” 20+ times?
As of Oct 25, 2026, JD Vance did not say “Hundred / Thousand” 20+ times at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Oct 9, 2026.
Of the last 5 transcripts we have, of any kind (5 press briefings; Oct 1, 2025 – Sep 3, 2026), since fewer than 2 rallies have transcripts, it reached the market's count (20+, named speaker only) in 0.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
JD Vance
Hundred / Thousand 20+ times
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last 5 transcripts
- said in 0 of 5
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (5 press briefings); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…in Michigan, earlier this week in Michigan, that we have taken over 2,000 fraudulent CDL mills out of business, which makes America's roads safer and…
…that the Iranians get all these benefits. You will hear things about $300 billion or $24 billion, or this or that number of money --…
We've seen hundreds of millions of dollars of fraudulent loans that were being handed out through the small business administration that we've identified and stopped.…
…get them but illegal aliens and other fraudsters don't. We have over 1,500 subpoenas that the Department of Justice has issued to get to the…
Nearly 50,000 members of the United States Coast Guard are going to have to work unpaid. Over 13,000 air traffic controllers will work without pay…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Hundred / Thousand 20+ times |  Polymarket | No |
Questions
- How often does JD Vance say “Hundred / Thousand 20+ times”?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, JD Vance did not say “Hundred / Thousand” 20+ times at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Oct 9, 2026.
- What is the probability JD Vance says “Hundred / Thousand 20+ times” next time?
- 33%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “JD Vance: ‘Hundred / Thousand 20+ times’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/jd-vance/words/hundred-or-thousand-20plus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=jd-vance&word=hundred%20%2F%20thousand%20%2820%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=jd-vance&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP