Will JD Vance say “Heinous”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, JD Vance did not say “Heinous” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Jan 23, 2026.
Of the last 5 transcripts we have, of any kind (5 press briefings; Oct 1, 2025 – Sep 3, 2026), since fewer than 2 speeches have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
JD Vance
Heinous
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last 5 transcripts
- said in 1 of 5
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (5 press briefings); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…there are these prisoner rights clinic. There are people who objectively committed heinous crimes, but the American media and the American legal academy has decided…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2026 | Heinous |  Polymarket | No |
Questions
- How often does JD Vance say “Heinous”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, JD Vance did not say “Heinous” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Jan 23, 2026.
- What is the probability JD Vance says “Heinous” next time?
- 37%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “JD Vance: ‘Heinous’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/jd-vance/words/heinous (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=jd-vance&word=heinous · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=jd-vance&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP