Will JD Vance say “Fee / Toll”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, JD Vance said “Fee / Toll” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Jun 18, 2026.
Of the last 5 press briefings we have transcripts for (Oct 1, 2025 – Sep 3, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
JD Vance
Fee / Toll
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last 5 press briefings
- said in 1 of 5
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
Well, first of all, we believe international waterways should be free of tolls and that's been our position, that's what you see, of course, in…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 18, 2026 | Fee / Toll |  Kalshi | Yes | 1 |
Questions
- How often does JD Vance say “Fee / Toll”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, JD Vance said “Fee / Toll” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Jun 18, 2026.
- What is the probability JD Vance says “Fee / Toll” next time?
- 59%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “JD Vance: ‘Fee / Toll’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/jd-vance/words/fee-or-toll (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=jd-vance&word=fee%20%2F%20toll · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=jd-vance&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP