What is the probability JD Vance says “Competitor” next time?

37%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.

Who has to say it for the market to count?

Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Will JD Vance say “Competitor”?

Name: JD Vance: “Competitor” mention history
Creator: parrot.markets
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

As of Oct 24, 2026, JD Vance did not say “Competitor” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on May 5, 2026.

Of the last 5 transcripts we have, of any kind (5 press briefings; Oct 1, 2025 – Sep 3, 2026), since fewer than 2 remarks have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 2.

–too little history for a probability (n=1)

Last 10: 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
Streak: not said last time
Counts: named speaker only

Updated Oct 24, 2026, 09:31 UTC

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

JD Vance

Competitor

Probability: – · n=1 (too little history)
Settled: 0/1 (0%)
Last 5 transcripts: said in 2 of 5

Next listing counts: named speaker only

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have (5 press briefings); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

JD VancespeakerVice President JD Vance Briefs Members of the Media, Sep. 3, 2026 · Sep 3, 2026 · 56:30In transcript

…to stand up, both to the big corporations, but the big foreign competitors and say you are not allowed to steal American industry any more.…

JD VancespeakerVice President JD Vance Briefs Members of the Media, May 19, 2026 · May 19, 2026 · 47:44In transcript

…lot of ways in which we've reinvested and which we've tariffed foreign competitors to ensure that American car workers, American auto workers, and the products…

What will JD Vance say during his fraud press conference? · not listed

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What will JD Vance say during his announcement? · not listed

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What will JD Vance say during his rally in North Carolina? · not listed

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What will JD Vance say during his CBS Town Hall? · not listed

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What will JD Vance say during his rally in Michigan? · not listed

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What will JD Vance say during his rally in Ohio? · not listed

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What will JD Vance say during his rally in Alaska? · not listed

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What will JD Vance say during Fox News: Hannity? · not listed

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What will JD Vance say during his Midterm Rally in Florida? · not listed

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What will JD Vance say during his Midterm Rally in Texas? · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 1 shown

Every settled listing of this word, newest first
Date	Listed as	Venue	Result
May 5, 2026	Competitor	Polymarket	No

Questions

How often does JD Vance say “Competitor”?: As of Oct 24, 2026, JD Vance did not say “Competitor” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on May 5, 2026.
What is the probability JD Vance says “Competitor” next time?: 37%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?: Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “JD Vance: ‘Competitor’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/jd-vance/words/competitor (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=jd-vance&word=competitor · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=jd-vance&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP