Will JD Vance say “Community”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, JD Vance said “Community” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on May 5, 2026.
Of the last 5 transcripts we have, of any kind (5 press briefings; Oct 1, 2025 – Sep 3, 2026), since fewer than 2 remarks have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 2.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
JD Vance
Community
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last 5 transcripts
- said in 2 of 5
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (5 press briefings); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…has been talking with some of the people who live in that community who say their health concerns have been suppressed. Would you consider an…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…and proud civilization, amazing people. We, obviously, have a great Iranian American community here in the United States of America, smart people, very hardworking, and…
…because it — it accrues to the benefit of the entire national community. I think that we can absolutely talk about the ways in which,…
…healthcare programs for American citizens instead. The Women, Infants, and Children program, community health center funding, Medicare treatment options, and other health programs are now…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 5, 2026 | Community |  Polymarket | Yes |
Questions
- How often does JD Vance say “Community”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, JD Vance said “Community” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on May 5, 2026.
- What is the probability JD Vance says “Community” next time?
- 54%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “JD Vance: ‘Community’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/jd-vance/words/community (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=jd-vance&word=community · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=jd-vance&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP