Will JD Vance say “Thousand / Million / Billion” 5+ times?
As of Oct 27, 2026, JD Vance did not say “Thousand / Million / Billion” 5+ times at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Sep 24, 2025.
Of the last 5 transcripts we have, of any kind (5 press briefings; Oct 1, 2025 – Sep 3, 2026), since fewer than 2 remarks have transcripts, it reached the market's count (5+, named speaker only) in 3.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
JD Vance
Thousand / Million / Billion 5+ times
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last 5 transcripts
- said in 3 of 5
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (5 press briefings); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…in Michigan, earlier this week in Michigan, that we have taken over 2,000 fraudulent CDL mills out of business, which makes America's roads safer and…
…is already bearing real fruits for the American people. Last night, 12.5 million barrels of oil went through the Strait of Hormuz; that is a…
…force where we have caught just in the last couple of months billions upon billions of dollars of fraud in our hospice system, in our…
…get them but illegal aliens and other fraudsters don't. We have over 1,500 subpoenas that the Department of Justice has issued to get to the…
…happen. What they have done instead is to shut down the government because we won't give billions of dollars to healthcare funding for illegal aliens.
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 24, 2025 | Thousand / Million / Billion 5+ times |  Polymarket | No |
Questions
- How often does JD Vance say “Thousand / Million / Billion 5+ times”?
- As of Oct 27, 2026, JD Vance did not say “Thousand / Million / Billion” 5+ times at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Sep 24, 2025.
- What is the probability JD Vance says “Thousand / Million / Billion 5+ times” next time?
- 39%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “JD Vance: ‘Thousand / Million / Billion 5+ times’ mention history”, as of Oct 27, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/jd-vance/words/billion-or-million-or-thousand-5plus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=jd-vance&word=billion%20%2F%20million%20%2F%20thousand%20%285%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=jd-vance&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP