Will JD Vance say “America / American” 30+ times?
As of Oct 27, 2026, JD Vance did not say “America / American” 30+ times at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Sep 24, 2025.
Of the last 5 transcripts we have, of any kind (5 press briefings; Oct 1, 2025 – Sep 3, 2026), since fewer than 2 remarks have transcripts, it reached the market's count (30+, named speaker only) in 3.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
JD Vance
America / American 30+ times
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last 5 transcripts
- said in 3 of 5
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (5 press briefings); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…have taken over 2,000 fraudulent CDL mills out of business, which makes America's roads safer and also protects the jobs of American truckers. And so…
…president's peace plan in Iran is already bearing real fruits for the American people. Last night, 12.5 million barrels of oil went through the Strait…
…the fraudulent criminal activities. So the thing that I say to the American people and I'll repeat here to all of you is, fraud is…
…system thanks to failed politicians and thanks to people who allowed the American taxpayer to be taken advantage of for far too long. I think…
That is what has actually happened. To the American people who are watching, the reason your government is shut down at this very minute is…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 24, 2025 | America / American 30+ times |  Polymarket | No |
Questions
- How often does JD Vance say “America / American 30+ times”?
- As of Oct 27, 2026, JD Vance did not say “America / American” 30+ times at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Sep 24, 2025.
- What is the probability JD Vance says “America / American 30+ times” next time?
- 39%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “JD Vance: ‘America / American 30+ times’ mention history”, as of Oct 27, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/jd-vance/words/america-or-american-30plus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=jd-vance&word=america%20%2F%20american%20%2830%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=jd-vance&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP