Will Gavin Newsom say “Brazil / Amazon”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Gavin Newsom did not say “Brazil / Amazon” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Dec 4, 2025.
–too little history for a probability (n=1)
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Updated
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Gavin Newsom
Brazil / Amazon
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
Next listing counts: named speaker only
We don’t have transcripts for Gavin Newsom yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2025 | Brazil / Amazon |  Kalshi | No |
Questions
- How often does Gavin Newsom say “Brazil / Amazon”?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, Gavin Newsom did not say “Brazil / Amazon” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Dec 4, 2025.
- What is the probability Gavin Newsom says “Brazil / Amazon” next time?
- 46%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Gavin Newsom: ‘Brazil / Amazon’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/gavin-newsom/words/amazon-or-brazil (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=gavin-newsom&word=amazon%20%2F%20brazil · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=gavin-newsom&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP