Will “Win / Winner” be said on MrBeast next time?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Win / Winner” was said on MrBeast at 2 of 4 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Jun 6, 2026 (50%), most recently on Aug 15, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 40% (n=4, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 6 episodes we have transcripts for (Aug 22, 2026 – Oct 17, 2026), 5 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 2 of them. 1 later episode without a transcript yet (Oct 24, 2026) is not counted.
- Last 10
- 2/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes no yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
MrBeast
Win / Winner
- Probability
- 40% · n=4
- Settled
- 2/4 (50%)
- Last 6 episodes
- said in 2 of 5 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: named speaker only
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Every settled listing
newest first · 4 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Win / Winner |  Polymarket | Yes |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Win / Winner | Polymarket | No |
| Jun 20, 2026 | Win / Winner | Polymarket | Yes |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Win / Winner | Polymarket | No |
Questions
- How often is “Win / Winner” said on MrBeast?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, “Win / Winner” was said on MrBeast at 2 of 4 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Jun 6, 2026 (50%), most recently on Aug 15, 2026.
- What is the probability “Win / Winner” is said on MrBeast next time?
- 40%, from settlement history (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “MrBeast: ‘Win / Winner’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/podcasts/mrbeast/words/win-or-winner (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=mrbeast&word=win%20%2F%20winner · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=mrbeast&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP