What is the probability “Feastables 3+ times” is said on MrBeast next time?

40%, from settlement history (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.

Who has to say it for the market to count?

Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Will “Feastables” be said 3+ times on MrBeast next time?

Name: MrBeast: “Feastables 3+ times” mention history
Creator: parrot.markets
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

As of Oct 24, 2026, “Feastables” was said 3+ times on MrBeast at 2 of 4 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Aug 16, 2025 (50%), most recently on Sep 13, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 40% (n=4, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 6 episodes we have transcripts for (Aug 22, 2026 – Oct 17, 2026), 5 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (3+, named speaker only) in 1 of them. 1 later episode without a transcript yet (Oct 24, 2026) is not counted.

40%from settlement history only · n=4counts: named speaker only

Last 10: 2/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no yes no
Streak: not said last time
Counts: named speaker only

Updated Oct 24, 2026, 18:50 UTC

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

MrBeast

Feastables 3+ times

Probability: 40% · n=4
Settled: 2/4 (50%)
Last 6 episodes: said in 1 of 5 that name the speakers

Next listing counts: named speaker only

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

sponsor ad readotherMrBeast (YouTube), August 22, 2026 · Aug 22, 2026 · 8:18In transcript

…I just gotta focus on NOT getting caught. There's a nice little Feastables cafe. I'm gonna go hide in there. Let's GO!!! Let's gooo, let's…

Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.

What will MrBeast say during his next YouTube video? · not listed

Open the appearance