Will “Israel / Israeli” be said on Meet the Press next time?
As of Oct 26, 2026, “Israel / Israeli” was said on Meet the Press in 4 of 5 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 5, 2026 (80%), most recently on Jul 26, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 50% (n=5, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 5 episodes we have transcripts for (Aug 23, 2026 – Sep 27, 2026), 1 names the market's speakers, and the word reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in it. 1 later episode without a transcript yet (Oct 25, 2026) is not counted.
- Last 10
- 4/5Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no yes yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 3 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Meet the Press
Israel / Israeli
- Probability
- 50% · n=5
- Settled
- 4/5 (80%)
- Last 5 episodes
- said in 1 of 1 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Every settled listing
newest first · 5 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 26, 2026 | Israel / Israeli |  Kalshi | Yes |
| Jul 12, 2026 | Israel / Israeli | Kalshi | Yes |
| May 31, 2026 | Israel / Israeli | Kalshi | Yes |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Israel / Israeli | Kalshi | No |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Israel / Israeli | Kalshi | Yes |
Questions
- How often is “Israel / Israeli” said on Meet the Press?
- As of Oct 26, 2026, “Israel / Israeli” was said on Meet the Press in 4 of 5 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 5, 2026 (80%), most recently on Jul 26, 2026.
- What is the probability “Israel / Israeli” is said on Meet the Press next time?
- 50%, from settlement history (n=5). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Meet the Press: ‘Israel / Israeli’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/meet-the-press/words/israel-or-israeli (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=meet-the-press&word=israel%20%2F%20israeli · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=meet-the-press&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP