Will “ICE / National Guard” be said on Meet the Press next time?
As of Oct 25, 2026, “ICE / National Guard” was said on Meet the Press in 2 of 4 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 5, 2026 (50%), most recently on Mar 8, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 46% (n=4, from settlement history), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 2/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes no yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Meet the Press
ICE / National Guard
- Probability
- 46% · n=4
- Settled
- 2/4 (50%)
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Every settled listing
newest first · 4 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2026 | ICE / National Guard |  Kalshi | Yes |
| Mar 2, 2026 | ICE / National Guard | Kalshi | No |
| Feb 2, 2026 | ICE / National Guard | Kalshi | Yes |
| Jan 5, 2026 | ICE / National Guard | Kalshi | No |
Questions
- How often is “ICE / National Guard” said on Meet the Press?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, “ICE / National Guard” was said on Meet the Press in 2 of 4 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 5, 2026 (50%), most recently on Mar 8, 2026.
- What is the probability “ICE / National Guard” is said on Meet the Press next time?
- 46%, from settlement history (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Meet the Press: ‘ICE / National Guard’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/meet-the-press/words/ice-or-national-guard (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=meet-the-press&word=ice%20%2F%20national%20guard · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=meet-the-press&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP