Will “ID / Identification” be said on Fox News next time?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “ID / Identification” was said on Fox News in 2 of 4 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 18, 2026 (50%), most recently on Apr 18, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 37% (n=4, from settlement history), not a forecast.
37%from settlement history only · n=4counts: named speaker only
- Last 10
- 2/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no yes no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Updated
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Fox News (interviews)
ID / Identification
- Probability
- 37% · n=4
- Settled
- 2/4 (50%)
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Every settled listing
newest first · 4 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 19, 2026 | ID / Identification |  Kalshi | No |
| Apr 18, 2026 | ID / Identification | Kalshi | Yes |
| Mar 24, 2026 | ID / Identification | Kalshi | No |
| Mar 18, 2026 | ID / Identification | Kalshi | Yes |
Questions
- How often is “ID / Identification” said on Fox News?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, “ID / Identification” was said on Fox News in 2 of 4 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 18, 2026 (50%), most recently on Apr 18, 2026.
- What is the probability “ID / Identification” is said on Fox News next time?
- 37%, from settlement history (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Fox News: ‘ID / Identification’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/fox-news-interviews/words/id-or-identification (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=fox-news-interviews&word=id%20%2F%20identification · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=fox-news-interviews&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP