Will “ICE / Border” be said on Fox News next time?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “ICE / Border” was said on Fox News in 2 of 5 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 11, 2026 (40%), most recently on Jun 6, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 36% (n=5, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 4 episodes we have transcripts for (Aug 22, 2026 – Oct 5, 2026), 1 names the market's speakers, and the word did not reach the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in it.
- Last 10
- 2/5Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes no yes no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Fox News (interviews)
ICE / Border
- Probability
- 36% · n=5
- Settled
- 2/5 (40%)
- Last 4 episodes
- said in 0 of 1 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Every settled listing
newest first · 5 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | ICE / Border |  Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Jun 6, 2026 | ICE / Border | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Mar 8, 2026 | ICE / Border | Kalshi | No | – |
| Feb 27, 2026 | ICE / Border | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Feb 11, 2026 | ICE / Border | Kalshi | No | – |
Questions
- How often is “ICE / Border” said on Fox News?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, “ICE / Border” was said on Fox News in 2 of 5 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 11, 2026 (40%), most recently on Jun 6, 2026.
- What is the probability “ICE / Border” is said on Fox News next time?
- 36%, from settlement history (n=5). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Fox News: ‘ICE / Border’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/fox-news-interviews/words/border-or-ice (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=fox-news-interviews&word=border%20%2F%20ice · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=fox-news-interviews&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP