What is the probability Jerome Powell says “Transparency” next time?

50%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.

Who has to say it for the market to count?

Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Will Jerome Powell say “Transparency”?

Name: Jerome Powell: “Transparency” mention history
Creator: parrot.markets
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

As of Oct 24, 2026, Jerome Powell said “Transparency” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Oct 25, 2025.

Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (8 press conferences; Jun 18, 2025 – Apr 29, 2026), since fewer than 2 remarks have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 2.

–too little history for a probability (n=1)

Last 10: 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
Streak: said last time
Last said: Oct 24, 2025
Counts: named speaker only

Updated Oct 24, 2026, 11:48 UTC

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Jerome Powell

Transparency

Probability: – · n=1 (too little history)
Settled: 1/1 (100%)
Last 8 transcripts: said in 2 of 8

Next listing counts: named speaker only

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have (8 press conferences); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

Jerome PowellspeakerFOMC press conference, April 29, 2026 · Apr 29, 2026In transcript

…said that I will not leave the Board until this investigation is well and truly over, with transparency and finality, and I stand by that.

Jerome PowellspeakerFOMC press conference, March 18, 2026 · Mar 18, 2026In transcript

…leaving the Board until the investigation is well and truly over, with transparency and finality, and I would refer you to the statement that was…

What will Jerome Powell say during his acceptance remarks for the JFK Courage Award? · not listed

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What will Jerome Powell say during his remarks at Harvard University? · not listed

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What will Jerome Powell say during the Federal Reserve Open Board Meeting? · not listed

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What will Jerome Powell say during his remarks on George Shultz's economic policy contributions? · not listed

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What will Powell say during the Federal Reserve Open Board Meeting? · settled yes

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We don’t have this transcript yet.

What will Powell say during his Speech? · not listed

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What will Powell say during his speech on October 14? · not listed

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What Will Powell Say During His Speech? · not listed

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What will Jerome Powell say during his speech at the Jackson Hole Economic Policy Symposium? · not listed

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What will Powell say during his speech at Jackson Hole on August 22? · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 1 shown

Every settled listing of this word, newest first
Date	Listed as	Venue	Result
Oct 25, 2025	Transparency	Kalshi	Yes

Questions

How often does Jerome Powell say “Transparency”?: As of Oct 24, 2026, Jerome Powell said “Transparency” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Oct 25, 2025.
What is the probability Jerome Powell says “Transparency” next time?: 50%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?: Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Jerome Powell: ‘Transparency’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/fed/jerome-powell/words/transparency (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=jerome-powell&word=transparency · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=jerome-powell&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP