Will Jerome Powell say “Russia”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Jerome Powell did not say “Russia” at any of the 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Aug 22, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 24% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (8 press conferences; Jun 18, 2025 – Apr 29, 2026), since fewer than 2 speeches have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0.
- Last 10
- 0/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no
- Streak
- not said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Jerome Powell
Russia
- Probability
- 24% · n=2
- Settled
- 0/2 (0%)
- Last 8 transcripts
- said in 0 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (8 press conferences); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…the economy, especially inflation, and what lessons were learned during the 2022 period when another conflict, the Russia–Ukraine war, sent oil and gas prices skyrocketing?
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown
Kalshi
PolymarketQuestions
- How often does Jerome Powell say “Russia”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Jerome Powell did not say “Russia” at any of the 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Aug 22, 2025.
- What is the probability Jerome Powell says “Russia” next time?
- 24%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Jerome Powell: ‘Russia’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/fed/jerome-powell/words/russia (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=jerome-powell&word=russia · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=jerome-powell&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP