Will Jerome Powell say “Pardon Me / Sorry”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Jerome Powell said “Pardon Me / Sorry” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Oct 14, 2025.
Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (8 press conferences; Jun 18, 2025 – Apr 29, 2026), since fewer than 2 speeches have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 7.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Jerome Powell
Pardon Me / Sorry
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last 8 transcripts
- said in 7 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (8 press conferences); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
And if you look at total inflation—sorry, total core inflation, it’s about 3 percent, and some big chunk of that, between a half and threequarters,…
…role, their bailiwick, and we stay off it. We do monetary policy and some other things, but we don’t—we don’t comment on the dollar. Sorry.
…than a year. You know, we didn’t have to worry about inflation— sorry, about the labor market, because the labor market, unemployment was very low,…
Sorry, say that first—
…have really come down together so far, except now we do have inflation—sorry, unemployment ticking up outside, just one tick outside of the range where…
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2025 | Pardon Me / Sorry |  Polymarket | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Jerome Powell say “Pardon Me / Sorry”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Jerome Powell said “Pardon Me / Sorry” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Oct 14, 2025.
- What is the probability Jerome Powell says “Pardon Me / Sorry” next time?
- 51%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Jerome Powell: ‘Pardon Me / Sorry’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/fed/jerome-powell/words/pardon-me-or-sorry (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=jerome-powell&word=pardon%20me%20%2F%20sorry · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=jerome-powell&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP