Will Jerome Powell say “Pardon”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Jerome Powell said “Pardon” at 2 of 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Sep 23, 2025 (50%), most recently on Oct 14, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 29% (n=4, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (8 press conferences; Jun 18, 2025 – Apr 29, 2026), since fewer than 2 panels have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1.
- Last 10
- 2/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no no
- Streak
- not said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Jerome Powell
Pardon
- Probability
- 29% · n=4
- Settled
- 2/4 (50%)
- Last 8 transcripts
- said in 1 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (8 press conferences); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…we need to have, and we’re now going to be going into [cough]—pardon me—into discussions about, you know, specific changes to language. So that’s—that’s the…
We don’t have this transcript yet.
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Every settled listing
newest first · 4 shown
KalshiQuestions
- How often does Jerome Powell say “Pardon”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Jerome Powell said “Pardon” at 2 of 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Sep 23, 2025 (50%), most recently on Oct 14, 2025.
- What is the probability Jerome Powell says “Pardon” next time?
- 29%, from settlement history (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Jerome Powell: ‘Pardon’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/fed/jerome-powell/words/pardon (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=jerome-powell&word=pardon · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=jerome-powell&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP