Will Jerome Powell say “Labor” 40+ times?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Jerome Powell did not say “Labor” 40+ times at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Aug 24, 2025.
Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (8 press conferences; Jun 18, 2025 – Apr 29, 2026), since fewer than 2 speeches have transcripts, it reached the market's count (40+, named speaker only) in 0.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Jerome Powell
Labor (40+ times)
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last 8 transcripts
- said in 0 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (8 press conferences); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…In contrast, activity in the housing sector has remained weak. In the labor market, the unemployment rate was 4.3 percent in March and has changed…
…2.3 percent next year, somewhat stronger than projected in December. In the labor market, the unemployment rate was 4.4 percent in February and has changed…
…should be reversed as the reopening boosts growth this quarter. In the labor market, indicators suggest that conditions may be stabilizing after a period of…
…has not changed much since our meeting in October. Conditions in the labor market appear to be gradually cooling, and inflation remains somewhat elevated. In…
…has not changed much since our meeting in September. Conditions in the labor market appear to be gradually cooling, and inflation remains somewhat elevated. In…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2025 | Labor (40+ times) |  Kalshi | No |
Questions
- How often does Jerome Powell say “Labor (40+ times)”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Jerome Powell did not say “Labor” 40+ times at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Aug 24, 2025.
- What is the probability Jerome Powell says “Labor (40+ times)” next time?
- 27%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Jerome Powell: ‘Labor (40+ times)’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/fed/jerome-powell/words/labor-40plus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=jerome-powell&word=labor%20%2840%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=jerome-powell&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP