Will Jerome Powell say “Kevin / Warsh”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Jerome Powell did not say “Kevin / Warsh” at any of the 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 30, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 15% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (8 press conferences; Jun 18, 2025 – Apr 29, 2026), since fewer than 2 remarks have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1.
- Last 10
- 0/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no
- Streak
- not said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Jerome Powell
Kevin / Warsh
- Probability
- 15% · n=2
- Settled
- 0/2 (0%)
- Last 8 transcripts
- said in 1 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (8 press conferences); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…I will close with a few thoughts. First, I want to congratulate Kevin Warsh on his advancement out of the Senate Banking Committee this morning.…
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 31, 2026 | Kevin / Warsh |  Kalshi | No |
| Mar 30, 2026 | Kevin / Warsh | Kalshi | No |
Questions
- How often does Jerome Powell say “Kevin / Warsh”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Jerome Powell did not say “Kevin / Warsh” at any of the 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 30, 2026.
- What is the probability Jerome Powell says “Kevin / Warsh” next time?
- 15%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Jerome Powell: ‘Kevin / Warsh’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/fed/jerome-powell/words/kevin-or-warsh (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=jerome-powell&word=kevin%20%2F%20warsh · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=jerome-powell&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP