Will Jerome Powell say “Inflation” 50+ times?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Jerome Powell said “Inflation” 50+ times at 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since May 15, 2025 (50%), most recently on Aug 22, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 42% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (8 press conferences; Jun 18, 2025 – Apr 29, 2026), since fewer than 2 speeches have transcripts, it reached the market's count (50+, named speaker only) in 4.
- Last 10
- 1/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Jerome Powell
Inflation 50+ times
- Probability
- 42% · n=2
- Settled
- 1/2 (50%)
- Last 8 transcripts
- said in 4 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (8 press conferences); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…remained low, the unemployment rate has been little changed in recent months. Inflation has moved up and is elevated, in part reflecting the recent increase…
…low, the unemployment rate has been little changed in recent months, and inflation remains somewhat elevated. Today, the FOMC decided to leave our policy rate…
…remained low, the unemployment rate has shown some signs of stabilization, and inflation remains somewhat elevated. In support of our goals, today the Federal Open…
…available public- and private-sector data suggest that the outlook for employment and inflation has not changed much since our meeting in October. Conditions in the…
…data that have remained available suggest that the outlook for employment and inflation has not changed much since our meeting in September. Conditions in the…
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2025 | Inflation 50+ times |  Polymarket | Yes |
| May 15, 2025 | Inflation 50+ times | Polymarket | No |
Questions
- How often does Jerome Powell say “Inflation 50+ times”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Jerome Powell said “Inflation” 50+ times at 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since May 15, 2025 (50%), most recently on Aug 22, 2025.
- What is the probability Jerome Powell says “Inflation 50+ times” next time?
- 42%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Jerome Powell: ‘Inflation 50+ times’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/fed/jerome-powell/words/inflation-50plus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=jerome-powell&word=inflation%20%2850%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=jerome-powell&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP