Will Jerome Powell say “Immigration”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Jerome Powell did not say “Immigration” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on May 15, 2025.
Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (8 press conferences; Jun 18, 2025 – Apr 29, 2026), since fewer than 2 speeches have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 8.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Jerome Powell
Immigration
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last 8 transcripts
- said in 8 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (8 press conferences); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…a decline in the growth of the labor force due to lower immigration and labor force participation, though labor demand has clearly softened as well.
…a decline in the growth of the labor force due to lower immigration and labor force participation, though labor demand has clearly softened as well.
…a decline in the growth of the labor force due to lower immigration and labor force participation, though labor demand has clearly softened as well.…
…a decline in the growth of the labor force due to lower immigration and labor force participation, though labor demand has clearly softened as well.…
…a decline in the growth of the labor force due to lower immigration and labor force participation, though labor demand has clearly softened as well.…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 15, 2025 | Immigration |  Polymarket | No |
Questions
- How often does Jerome Powell say “Immigration”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Jerome Powell did not say “Immigration” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on May 15, 2025.
- What is the probability Jerome Powell says “Immigration” next time?
- 27%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Jerome Powell: ‘Immigration’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/fed/jerome-powell/words/immigration (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=jerome-powell&word=immigration · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=jerome-powell&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP