Will Jerome Powell say “Oil / Gas / Gasoline”?
As of Oct 26, 2026, Jerome Powell did not say “Oil / Gas / Gasoline” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on May 31, 2026.
Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (8 press conferences; Jun 18, 2025 – Apr 29, 2026), since fewer than 2 remarks have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 4.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Jerome Powell
Oil / Gas / Gasoline
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last 8 transcripts
- said in 4 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (8 press conferences); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…12 months ending in March, boosted by the significant rise in global oil prices that has resulted from the conflict in the Middle East. Excluding…
…expectations have risen in recent weeks, likely reflecting the substantial rise in oil prices caused by the supply disruptions in the Middle East. Most measures…
…that. Geopolitical risk for us is—a lot of it is around energy, oil. And so far we haven’t— for all the turmoil, we really—oil prices…
…seen anything like that—that—like that now. The U.S. economy is far less dependent on foreign oil than it was back in the 1970s. So, but—
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 31, 2026 | Oil / Gas / Gasoline |  Kalshi | No |
Questions
- How often does Jerome Powell say “Oil / Gas / Gasoline”?
- As of Oct 26, 2026, Jerome Powell did not say “Oil / Gas / Gasoline” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on May 31, 2026.
- What is the probability Jerome Powell says “Oil / Gas / Gasoline” next time?
- 21%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Jerome Powell: ‘Oil / Gas / Gasoline’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/fed/jerome-powell/words/gas-or-gasoline-or-oil (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=jerome-powell&word=gas%20%2F%20gasoline%20%2F%20oil · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=jerome-powell&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP