Will Jerome Powell say “Employment / Unemployment” 15+ times?
As of Oct 27, 2026, Jerome Powell said “Employment / Unemployment” 15+ times at 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Aug 22, 2025 (100%), most recently on Oct 14, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 60% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (8 press conferences; Jun 18, 2025 – Apr 29, 2026), since fewer than 2 speeches have transcripts, it reached the market's count (15+, named speaker only) in 7.
- Last 10
- 2/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Jerome Powell
Employment / Unemployment 15+ times
- Probability
- 60% · n=2
- Settled
- 2/2 (100%)
- Last 8 transcripts
- said in 7 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (8 press conferences); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…and I remain squarely focused on achieving our dual-mandate goals of maximum employment and stable prices for the benefit of the American people. The U.S.…
…and I remain squarely focused on achieving our dual-mandate goals of maximum employment and stable prices for the benefit of the American people. The U.S.…
…and I remain squarely focused on achieving our dual-mandate goals of maximum employment and stable prices for the benefit of the American people. The U.S.…
…and I remain squarely focused on achieving our dual-mandate goals of maximum employment and stable prices for the benefit of the American people. Although important…
…and I remain squarely focused on achieving our dual-mandate goals of maximum employment and stable prices for the benefit of the American people. Although some…
We don’t have this transcript yet.
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2025 | Employment / Unemployment 15+ times |  Polymarket | Yes |
| Aug 22, 2025 | Employment / Unemployment 15+ times | Polymarket | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Jerome Powell say “Employment / Unemployment 15+ times”?
- As of Oct 27, 2026, Jerome Powell said “Employment / Unemployment” 15+ times at 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Aug 22, 2025 (100%), most recently on Oct 14, 2025.
- What is the probability Jerome Powell says “Employment / Unemployment 15+ times” next time?
- 60%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Jerome Powell: ‘Employment / Unemployment 15+ times’ mention history”, as of Oct 27, 2026, https://parrot.markets/fed/jerome-powell/words/employment-or-unemployment-15plus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=jerome-powell&word=employment%20%2F%20unemployment%20%2815%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=jerome-powell&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP