Will Jerome Powell say “COVID” 3+ times?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Jerome Powell did not say “COVID” 3+ times at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on May 15, 2025.
Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (8 press conferences; Jun 18, 2025 – Apr 29, 2026), since fewer than 2 speeches have transcripts, it reached the market's count (3+, named speaker only) in 1.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearanceJerome Powell
COVID 3+
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last 8 transcripts
- said in 1 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (8 press conferences); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…still misbehaving. What’s your message to American families who feel like inflation has not been under control for them really since, since the COVID reopening?
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…two parts of our mandate. But has the world changed? I mean, COVID, COVID is a one-time thing, right? This energy supply shock is a…
…Fed. Since becoming Fed Chair, you’ve seen multiple trade wars, the pandemic, COVID reopening, a period of high inflation. I know your term’s not up…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 15, 2025 | COVID 3+ | No |
Questions
- How often does Jerome Powell say “COVID 3+”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Jerome Powell did not say “COVID” 3+ times at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on May 15, 2025.
- What is the probability Jerome Powell says “COVID 3+” next time?
- 27%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Jerome Powell: ‘COVID 3+’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/fed/jerome-powell/words/covid-3plus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=jerome-powell&word=covid%20%283%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=jerome-powell&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP