Will Jerome Powell say “Beige Book”?

As of Oct 24, 2026, Jerome Powell said “Beige Book” at 3 of 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since May 15, 2025 (75%), most recently on Oct 14, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 50% (n=4, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (8 press conferences; Jun 18, 2025 – Apr 29, 2026), since fewer than 2 speeches have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 2.

50%from settlement history only · n=4counts: named speaker only
Last 10
3/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes yes yes
Streak
said the last 3 times
Counts
named speaker only
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Where it was said

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Jerome Powell

Beige Book

Probability
50% · n=4
Settled
3/4 (75%)
Last 8 transcripts
said in 2 of 8

Next listing counts: named speaker only

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have (8 press conferences); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

Jerome PowellspeakerFOMC press conference, January 28, 2026 · Jan 28, 2026 · 10:39In transcript

…the outlook for growth. The data have come in, and sentiment, the Beige Book—everything—comes in suggesting that this year starts off on a solid footing…

Jerome PowellspeakerFOMC press conference, October 29, 2025 · Oct 29, 2025In transcript

…job openings, and we’ll get lots of survey data, we’ll get the Beige Book and things like that. So we’ll have a—we’ll have a picture…

What will Jerome Powell say during his acceptance remarks for the JFK Courage Award? · not listed

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What will Jerome Powell say during his remarks at Harvard University? · not listed

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What will Jerome Powell say during the Federal Reserve Open Board Meeting? · not listed

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What will Jerome Powell say during his remarks on George Shultz's economic policy contributions? · not listed

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What will Powell say during the Federal Reserve Open Board Meeting? · not listed

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What will Powell say during his Speech? · settled yes

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We don’t have this transcript yet.

What will Powell say during his speech on October 14? · settled yes

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We don’t have this transcript yet.

What Will Powell Say During His Speech? · settled yes

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We don’t have this transcript yet.

What will Jerome Powell say during his speech at the Jackson Hole Economic Policy Symposium? · not listed

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What will Powell say during his speech at Jackson Hole on August 22? · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 4 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Oct 15, 2025Beige BookKalshiYes
Oct 14, 2025Beige BookPolymarketYes
Sep 23, 2025Beige BookKalshiYes
May 15, 2025Beige BookPolymarketNo

Questions

How often does Jerome Powell say “Beige Book”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Jerome Powell said “Beige Book” at 3 of 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since May 15, 2025 (75%), most recently on Oct 14, 2025.
What is the probability Jerome Powell says “Beige Book” next time?
50%, from settlement history (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Jerome Powell: ‘Beige Book’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/fed/jerome-powell/words/beige-book (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=jerome-powell&word=beige%20book · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=jerome-powell&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP